Global Policy Forum

Global Policy Forum

Resolving the Political Stalemate in Mali

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Photo Credit: trust.org

Since the coup of the military junta in Mali on March 22, ECOWAS has been charged with negotiating the terms of the transition to an elected government. While the junta initially agreed to hand over power to civilians and ECOWAS consequently lifted its sanctions, the junta now wants its leader, Amadou Sanogo, to become the new interim president. Sanogo insists on remaining in control and refuses to honor the ECOWAS deal which excludes military rule. The UN is sending a special envoy to the upcoming meeting of the ECOWAS Mediation and Security. This ISS Today article argues that ECOWAS was wrong in lifting its sanction without any serious guarantees from the junta. ECOWAS will have to take a strong stance if it wants to avoid further instability in the Sahel region.

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The Real Hunger Games: How Banks Gamble on Food Prices – and the Poor Lose Out

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Picture Credit: youtrust.org
Speculation by large investment banks has driven up food prices, tipping millions into hunger and further into poverty. In the past five years, investment in food commodities has risen from US$65bn to US$126bn. Hedge funds, pension funds and investment banks now dominate the food commodities market, dwarfing the amount traded by actual food producers and buyers. In this article, UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food Olivier de Schutter comments on the way in which financial players bet on food and the catastrophic effects of this speculation on poor consumers.
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Water Conflicts Move Up on U.S. Security Agenda

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Picture Credit: circleofblue.org
 On May 9, 2012, the US State Department released the first ever “Global Water Security” report looking at the way global water security issues impact the US. The report states that over the next 10 years, “water problems will contribute to instability in states important to US national security interests.” While the report concentrates on the seven river basins between the Nile and Mekong, it marks an important first step in acknowledging that local conflicts over water have long existed, but today a combination of water shortages and transboundary waterways gives rise to escalating international conflicts.
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Question Marks over EU Contract for Libya Security Firm

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Photo Credit: guardian.co.uk

The EU has awarded G4S 10 million Euros to provide bodyguards for its Tripoli and Benghazi delegations, even though G4S is not legally allowed to work there. Neither the National Transition Council (NTC) nor the Libyan government permits G4S to operate in Libya. G4S also provides materials and services to Israeli prisons that hold Palestinian “administrative detainees” for the Israeli government in occupied territory, which leads to further controversy, making G4S and, by association, EU delegates potential targets for hostility in Libya.

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A UN Emergency Peace Service?

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Photo Credit: cnn.com

This openDemocracy article argues in favor of the need for a United Nations Emergency Peace Service (UNEPS.) Proponents of UNEPS claim that the UN’s current system of “humanitarian intervention” is insufficient under more demanding crises to prevent genocide and mass atrocities. UNEPS aims to design a permanent UN force ready for instant deployment upon authorization of the UN Security Council. Since peacekeeping forces often take many months to assemble and deploy, UNEPS could be a valuable tool in UN crisis response. However, if it were used as a quick-trigger heavily armed “humanitarian intervention” force, it could add to the nightmare of great power politics.

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Shooting to Kill Pirates Risks Blackwater Moment

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Photo Credit: safety4sea.com

There is a rising demand for private guards to board merchant vessels and deter attacks from Somali pirates. But a lack of rules governing the use of weapons by private actors on the high seas complicates the matter. In 2011, the UN’s International Maritime Organization issued weak, non-binding guidelines for private armed guards, stating that they should use no more force than what is strictly necessary. It is often difficult to differentiate between fisherman and pirates on the high seas, and a void in international maritime law has created “shoot-first” situations that risk innocent lives.

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International Criminal Court on Trial in Kenya

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Photo Credit: un.org

The International Criminal Court (ICC) is tangled up with Kenya’s public and political life, especially after the ICC indicted two of Kenya’s potential candidates for the 2012 presidential elections. The two indicted Kenyans are high level officials who allegedly funded violence in response to protests of Kenya’s corrupt 2007 elections. The ICC took up the case after Kenyan courts provided the officials with impunity. Kenyans are still positive about the ICC’s actions, with 54% public approval ratings, but that number is down from 68% in mid-2009. 

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Victory at UNCTAD XIII

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Picture Credit: UNCTAD.org
In this article, Deborah James of the Center for Economic and Policy Research extensively discusses the victory achieved by developing countries at the most recent UNCTAD conference. Developed and developing countries were pitted against each other over UNCTAD’s mandate, particularly with respect to its role in researching the financial crisis and offering macro-economic policy proposals. Hardly surprising, developed countries wanted to curtail UNCTAD’s mandates precisely because it had been so successful at predicting the financial crisis. This otherwise counter-intuitive position is typical for the powerful countries who want to rid themselves of interference from “outsiders” in the realm of global economic governance. During the tough negotiations, the developing countries “won” the fight and made sure that UNCTAD’s role would be retained. Even though UNCTAD’s standing can still not match that of the IMF and World Bank, the success at the 13th conference cannot be underestimated and may signal the beginning of a turning point for global economic governance.
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Confronting the Sources of West African Maritime Insecurity

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Picture Credit: africacenter.org

Concerns have been raised over maritime insecurity in West Africa escalating to a level similar to that around the Horn of Africa. But while media reports often focus on the threat of piracy, this ISS Today article identifies one of the major sources of maritime insecurity being Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) fishing. IUU fishing’s impact on food and human security could eventually bring about further political, economic and social instability in West Africa. In 2011, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 2018 acknowledging the increasing importance of West African maritime security. However, the Resolution does not mention the problem of IUU fishing.

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Every Nation for Itself: Six Questions for Ian Bremmer

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Photo Credit: worldpolicy.org

The G7 group of industrialized nations can function, but does not reflect the global balance of power, while the G-20 group of “major economies” is representative, but cannot function. Ian Bremmer coined the term “G-Zero” to describe the current situation in which no country or group of countries can take the lead in solving the world’s most pressing problems, like climate change, food and water scarcity, nuclear proliferation, and international security. The US has the world’s largest economy and military, but it is unable to provide effective global leadership to tackle such problems. The result is a situation in which every nation focuses solely on its own interests, rather than global concerns.  

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East Africa at the Brink

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Picture Credit:
oursurprisingworld.com

Looking at the relationship between North and South Sudan, this Counterpunch article points out that the conflict involves outside actors that all have their own geopolitical interests. The US, Russia and China, but also Israel and neighboring Arab and African countries are fueling the conflict by supplying weapons to both countries and are exploiting the situation to their own advantage. International Crisis Group has urged the UN Security Council to take action in the region. However, taking into account the US’ support of Juba and Russia and China’s backing of Khartoum, these opposing interests prevent the UN from taking any course of action.

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Congo: The Hunt for Bosco - Kabila Turns on His Friends

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Photo Credit: bbc.co.uk

After three years of reduced violence in the resource-rich DRC, conflict is once again flaring in the eastern Kivu provinces. The recent upsurge can be traced to the ICC’s indictment of warlord Bosco Ntaganda, a former CNDP commander. In an agreement on the 23rd of March 2009, the CNDP rebel group was officially integrated in the Congolese national army. However, the West’s decision to go after Bosco on charges of committing crimes against humanity has led to mutiny and a flood of violent clashes in the east. Moreover, the country’s natural resources and Uganda and Rwanda’s interference in Congo’s internal affairs further complicate the conflict. The Peacekeeping force in Congo, MONUSCO, is the UN’s largest and has increased its presence but a purely military solution appears unlikely.

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EU Forces in Anti-piracy Raid on Somali Mainland

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Photo Credit:scotsman.com
On May 15, the EU naval force carried out its first air strikes along the Somali coast against pirate bases on shore. In December 2008, the EU launched Operation Atalanta, the Union’s first operational naval deployment outside of European waters, with up to 10 warships off the Horn of Africa. In Mach 2012, a new EU mandate has permitted its naval force to attack pirate targets onshore, as well as offshore. However, such a large EU naval force seems hardly necessary considering the very small resources of the pirates. When put in the context of international naval rivalry, this escalation could hint at European naval power projection into the Indian Ocean/Gulf of Aden arena.

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Rise of the Lilliputians

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Picture Credit: guardian.co.uk

The Small Five (S-5)--- Costa Rica, Jordan, Liechtenstein, Singapore, and Switzerland—are pressing for a General Assembly (GA)  vote aimed at limiting the veto powers of the Permanent Five members of the Security Council. The resolution seeks to change the way in which the Council meets, conducts its business and interacts with the GA. The P5 have already indicated that it will reject any resolutions, however this is a first step in making the SC more transparent and responsive to the international community.

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“Drones, Missiles, and Gunships, Oh My!” Welcome to the 2012 London Olympics

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Photo Credit: thenational.ae

There will be as many as 48,000 security forces in London during the 2012 Summer Olympics. These forces will be armed with surface-to-air missiles, sonic weapons, surveillance drones, attack dogs, an eleven-mile electric fence, facial-recognition CCTV systems, and other high-tech security apparatuses. It is the UK’s biggest mobilization of military forces since World War II. The author of this article argues that the whole ordeal is not as much about athletes competing within a community of nations, as it is a “neoliberal Trojan Horse” aimed to attract investments at the expense of basic civil liberties.

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Somalia: Rescuing the Process of Transition

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Somali citizens and scholars demand openness and transparency in Somalia’s UN-led constitution-making process. In response to dissenters, UN officials released a letter threatening to punish them with sanctions. The new draft-constitution is led by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the United Nations Political Office (UNPOS), and includes a “road map” leading into a post-transitional Somali government. The author of this Al Jazeera article warns that if the new draft-constitution is forced onto the Somali people, it may be considered illegitimate in their eyes, and may recycle the status quo.

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Guantanamo Bay Contractor on Shortlist to Run UK Police Services

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Photo Credit: sott.net

Kellogg Brown & Root (KBR), a US private contractor that helped build Guantanamo Bay prisons, is bidding for a 1.5 billion pound contract to run policing services in Surrey and the West Midlands in the UK. There has been little public awareness about this contract, and critics are worried about the lack of public consultation in the matter. A KBR spokesperson claimed that KBR would bring “operational efficiencies” to “back office” police tasks. But critics who have analyzed the potential contract argue that the contract privatizes some core elements of policing, which distances police from the public citizens they are supposed to serve. 

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The Energy Wars Heat Up

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Picture Credit: dornsife.usc.edu

In this article, Michael T. Klare signals the eruption of clashes over energy supplies around the globe. From Sudan to the Falkland Islands, the South China Seas to the Arabian Gulf, we see an intensified struggle to secure valuable energy supplies, especially oil and gas deposits. Moreover, large existing oil and gas fields are being exhausted rapidly and new fields are smaller and harder to exploit. This will only increase the probability of conflict over oil and gas reserves. Around the world, state actors associate energy assets with wealth, power and prestige, which suggests that we are entering an era of intensified conflict over energy.

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Greek Left Leader Renounces Bailout Deal

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Picture Credit: neoskosmos.com
After conservative party New Democracy failed to form of a new government in Greece, the initiative fell to the runner-up of the elections: Syriza, a left-wing “anti-austerity coalition.” Syriza’s electoral success instilled fear in EU-politicians, because the coalition had declared Athens’ deal with the troika “null and void.” Rather than do away with the Euro and expound mere rhetoric, however, Syriza’s main objective is to broker a better and fairer deal for the Greek people.
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Mali’s Struggle: Not Simply of Their Own Making

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Picture Credit:bbc.co.uk

This openSecurity article examines the way in which foreign interventions have impacted the current political crises in Mali. In 1991, nonviolent protests brought down the Mousa Traoré dictatorship, and Mali was able to establish a stable democratic government “despite a history of enormous poverty, ethnic divisions, and foreign intervention.” Today’s current political situation can be read as the “consequence” of misguided foreign intervention where countries, like the US and France, sought to impose a military solution as a quick fix to a complex political problem.

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A Vital (and Unlearned) Lesson from Julius Caesar

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In 63 BC, Julius Caeser captured a group of conspirators planning to overthrow the Roman government. Common citizens demanded the conspirators’ death, but Caeser noted that Roman law forbids execution of any Roman citizens, even for heinous crimes. Executing conspirators requires creation of a dangerous precedent, which vests power in the state to kill its own citizens. Incompetent leaders in future times may abuse that power. Glenn Greenwald relates Caeser’s situation to contemporary times, and warns against the Obama administration’s use of torture, indefinite detention, and extra-judicial assassinations.  

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